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Red168
353851.4
999218.4
93064.9
Blue150
9339.3
999928.7
319745.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149940200300400500168150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
64.90.8
62.363.1
Auto12.7
Teleop39.9
End10.7
red by 19.5
45.41.0
43.044.0
Auto11.7
Teleop24.4
End9.2
Second
51.40.8
48.849.6
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End9.0
red by 12.2
93
#10
39.31.0
36.937.9
Auto12.4
Teleop20.9
End6.0
Third
9992
#18
18.41.0
15.216.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 10.3
9999
#15
28.71.2
25.927.1
Auto8.7
Teleop15.4
End5.0