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Red143
884734.1
171441.3
173252.7
Blue106
179230.4
220248.8
283033.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391186080100160180200143106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.2
52.552.7
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 3.9
48.80.2
49.048.8
Auto13.7
Teleop25.5
End9.7
Second
1714
#31
41.30.2
41.141.3
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
red by 7.7
2830
#22
33.60.2
33.833.6
Auto8.5
Teleop17.6
End7.5
Third
8847
#16
34.10.2
33.934.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.8
End6.9
red by 3.8
1792
#26
30.40.2
30.530.4
Auto10.2
Teleop13.4
End6.8