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Red132
206230.9
173252.7
171441.3
Blue61
359624.8
306729.4
514831.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1286605010015020013261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.71.0
47.048.0
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 21.7
5148
#32
31.01.1
21.720.7
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End7.0
Second
1714
#31
41.31.3
39.540.8
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
red by 11.9
3067
#39
29.41.1
31.630.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End4.6
Third
2062
#14
30.91.2
26.127.3
Auto7.6
Teleop14.2
End9.1
red by 6.1
3596
#41
24.81.6
16.915.3
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed