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Qual 282023 Wisconsin Regional
Red124
616033.2
818823.0
93057.8
Blue119
880232.2
219426.7
478649.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10699406080120140160180124119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
57.81.7
53.0→54.7
Auto13.5
Teleop35.9
End8.4
red by 8.7
4786
#6
49.11.7
42.4→44.0
Auto14.4
Teleop25.6
End9.1
Second
6160
#11
33.21.7
26.4→28.1
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End8.6
red by 1.0
8802
#13
32.21.7
27.9→29.5
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End8.3
Third
8188
#30
23.01.7
19.5→21.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End7.3
blue by 3.7
2194
#33
26.72.8
23.9→26.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned