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Red141
478649.1
616033.2
853132.6
Blue56
359624.8
509618.6
167531.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1126005010015020014156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.12.5
44.046.6
Auto14.4
Teleop25.6
End9.1
red by 17.3
1675
#35
31.80.4
25.625.1
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End6.0
Second
6160
#11
33.22.5
26.629.1
Auto9.6
Teleop15.1
End8.6
red by 8.4
3596
#41
24.80.7
21.921.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Third
8531
#23
32.64.2
27.531.7
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End10.2
red by 14.1
5096
#40
18.60.7
15.214.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed