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Red97
582225.7
809646.0
9337.7
Blue107
880232.2
53745.2
179230.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117104608014016018020097107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.01.4
42.441.0
Auto11.8
Teleop27.9
End6.3
red by 0.8
537
#2
45.20.2
37.738.0
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End11.4
Second
93
#18
37.71.4
39.638.2
Auto11.9
Teleop19.6
End6.2
red by 5.5
8802
#13
32.20.2
28.929.1
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End8.3
Third
5822
#37
25.71.4
25.924.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End5.2
blue by 4.6
1792
#26
30.40.2
32.132.4
Auto10.2
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned