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Red114
319742.5
870136.3
514831.0
Blue113
306729.4
478649.1
125931.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011250150200114113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#17
42.50.6
37.538.0
Auto13.7
Teleop23.6
End5.2
blue by 6.6
49.10.6
47.348.0
Auto14.4
Teleop25.6
End9.1
Second
8701
#34
36.30.9
32.333.3
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End8.3
red by 4.5
1259
#28
31.80.6
26.827.4
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Third
5148
#32
31.00.6
25.826.3
Auto4.4
Teleop19.6
End7.0
red by 1.6
3067
#39
29.40.6
29.229.8
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsMissed