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Red126
173252.7
109118.2
478649.1
Blue122
812238.3
853132.6
206230.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131100406080120140160180126122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.3
51.851.5
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 14.4
8122
#12
38.31.6
37.539.1
Auto8.7
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
49.10.3
48.748.3
Auto14.4
Teleop25.6
End9.1
red by 16.5
8531
#23
32.61.8
30.832.6
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End10.2
Third
1091
#43
18.20.4
18.618.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End4.0
blue by 12.7
2062
#14
30.91.6
29.330.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.2
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned