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Qual 592023 Wisconsin Regional
Red105
179230.4
638138.2
509618.6
Blue92
125931.8
790028.8
741718.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90692040608010012014016010592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6381
#15
38.21.9
32.1→34.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End8.9
red by 6.5
1259
#28
31.81.3
27.4→28.7
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Second
1792
#26
30.41.2
32.4→33.6
Auto10.2
Teleop13.4
End6.8
red by 1.5
7900
#27
28.82.0
22.9→24.9
Auto9.9
Teleop12.0
End7.0
Third
5096
#40
18.61.9
17.2→19.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End5.0
Level
7417
#42
18.51.3
17.1→18.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned