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Red119
642139.7
171441.3
250630.6
Blue131
478649.1
251228.6
206230.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115107406080100140160180119131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#31
41.30.2
42.141.9
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
blue by 7.8
49.10.6
48.048.6
Auto14.4
Teleop25.6
End9.1
Second
39.70.2
37.737.5
Auto12.9
Teleop19.2
End7.6
red by 8.8
2062
#14
30.90.6
26.827.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.2
End9.1
Third
2506
#20
30.60.2
26.926.7
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End6.8
red by 2.0
2512
#19
28.60.6
27.027.6
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned