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Red76
509618.6
809646.0
741718.5
Blue141
870136.3
657440.9
93057.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751485010020076141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.2
41.941.7
Auto11.8
Teleop27.9
End6.3
blue by 11.9
930
#1
57.80.7
57.358.0
Auto13.5
Teleop35.9
End8.4
Second
5096
#40
18.60.3
19.118.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End5.0
blue by 22.3
6574
#10
40.90.7
36.637.3
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
Third
7417
#42
18.50.2
18.418.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End6.1
blue by 17.7
8701
#34
36.31.1
36.037.1
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned