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Red86
125931.8
219426.7
802928.6
Blue115
657440.9
167531.8
880232.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88106608010012014016086115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#28
31.80.1
30.530.6
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
blue by 9.1
6574
#10
40.90.9
37.338.2
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
Second
8029
#24
28.60.1
26.626.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End8.5
blue by 3.6
8802
#13
32.20.9
29.630.5
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End8.3
Third
2194
#33
26.70.1
27.627.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.5
End8.0
blue by 5.1
1675
#35
31.80.9
30.030.8
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned