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Red121
791529.5
250630.6
638138.2
Blue150
173252.7
319742.5
53745.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8515750100200250121150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6381
#15
38.22.2
34.436.6
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End8.9
blue by 14.5
52.70.8
53.153.9
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
Second
2506
#20
30.61.8
27.229.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End6.8
blue by 14.6
537
#2
45.20.8
42.843.6
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End11.4
Third
7915
#21
29.52.4
27.529.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.0
End5.3
blue by 13.0
3197
#17
42.50.8
42.042.8
Auto13.7
Teleop23.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned