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Red121
809646.0
125931.8
657440.9
Blue117
853132.6
70642.7
802928.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241026080140160180200121117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.5
44.545.0
Auto11.8
Teleop27.9
End6.3
red by 3.3
706
#8
42.71.3
41.943.2
Auto11.3
Teleop23.5
End7.9
Second
6574
#10
40.90.5
38.238.7
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
red by 8.3
8531
#23
32.61.7
29.631.2
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End10.2
Third
1259
#28
31.80.5
30.631.1
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
red by 3.2
8029
#24
28.61.3
26.727.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned