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Red116
220248.8
251228.6
880232.2
Blue106
341833.1
70642.7
109118.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11699406080140160116106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.6
47.448.0
Auto13.7
Teleop25.5
End9.7
red by 6.1
706
#8
42.70.4
43.243.6
Auto11.3
Teleop23.5
End7.9
Second
8802
#13
32.20.6
31.131.7
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End8.3
blue by 0.9
3418
#36
33.10.4
33.634.0
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End8.2
Third
2512
#19
28.60.6
28.028.6
Auto9.6
Teleop13.8
End5.3
red by 10.4
1091
#43
18.20.5
18.118.6
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned