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Qual 922023 Wisconsin Regional
Red119
167531.8
601731.7
809646.0
Blue114
125931.8
791529.5
171441.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151056080140160180119114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8096
#9
46.00.8
45.0→45.8
Auto11.8
Teleop27.9
End6.3
red by 4.7
1714
#31
41.30.6
39.4→40.1
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Second
1675
#35
31.80.8
30.9→31.8
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End6.0
Level
1259
#28
31.80.6
31.1→31.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.8
End6.7
Third
6017
#7
31.70.8
30.7→31.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End8.5
red by 2.2
7915
#21
29.50.7
28.8→29.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned