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Red144
250630.6
478649.1
53745.2
Blue108
638138.2
657440.9
870136.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412280100160180200144108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.4
48.849.3
Auto14.4
Teleop25.6
End9.1
red by 8.2
6574
#10
40.90.2
41.140.9
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End8.2
Second
537
#2
45.20.4
44.945.4
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End11.4
red by 7.0
6381
#15
38.20.2
38.438.2
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End8.9
Third
2506
#20
30.60.4
30.430.8
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End6.8
blue by 5.6
8701
#34
36.30.2
36.436.3
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End8.3