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Red130
884734.1
171441.3
173252.7
Blue107
880232.2
9337.7
601731.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137103406080120160180200130107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.1
51.551.6
Auto13.2
Teleop31.1
End8.3
red by 15.0
93
#18
37.70.1
37.537.7
Auto11.9
Teleop19.6
End6.2
Second
1714
#31
41.30.1
40.140.2
Auto12.7
Teleop19.9
End8.7
red by 9.1
8802
#13
32.20.1
31.731.9
Auto7.1
Teleop16.8
End8.3
Third
8847
#16
34.10.1
32.933.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.8
End6.9
red by 2.4
31.70.1
31.531.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.8
End8.5