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Qual 122023 TWIST
Red90
93046.1
219433.5
870125.3
Blue107
642145.5
99919.6
682339.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410705015020025030035090107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#13
46.12.0
51.4→49.4
Auto11.0
Teleop23.3
End10.8
red by 0.6
6421
#1
45.50.7
44.1→44.8
Auto14.5
Teleop24.5
End6.6
Second
2194
#4
33.52.0
37.8→35.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.2
End9.8
blue by 5.8
6823
#5
39.30.7
39.1→39.8
Auto11.9
Teleop19.6
End7.2
Third
8701
#14
25.32.0
31.0→29.0
Auto10.9
Teleop9.3
End5.4
red by 15.6
9991
#12
9.61.2
13.2→14.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned