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Qual 152023 TWIST
Red53
270422.4
250613.6
99919.6
Blue68
682339.3
812227.4
283022.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5610801502005368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.6
19.318.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
blue by 16.9
39.31.9
39.837.9
Auto11.9
Teleop19.6
End7.2
Second
2506
#17
13.60.6
18.017.4
Auto6.3
Teleop4.5
End2.8
blue by 13.8
27.41.9
33.031.1
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End5.5
Third
9991
#12
9.61.0
14.413.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.0
End3.7
blue by 12.5
2830
#15
22.11.9
23.821.9
Auto10.6
Teleop7.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsMissed