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Match 72023 TWIST
Red106
51257.5
642145.5
657434.8
Blue103
173230.1
682339.3
283022.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8696050150200106103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#1
45.50.5
44.4→44.9
Auto14.5
Teleop24.5
End6.6
red by 6.2
6823
#5
39.30.3
38.5→38.8
Auto11.9
Teleop19.6
End7.2
Second
6574
#3
34.80.5
33.8→34.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End9.1
red by 4.7
1732
#10
30.10.3
29.3→29.6
Auto11.8
Teleop11.8
End6.1
Third
5125
#18
7.50.5
6.4→6.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End0.5
blue by 14.6
2830
#15
22.10.3
21.3→21.6
Auto10.6
Teleop7.5
End4.0