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Red172
206753.6
919317.7
19561.8
Blue83
22826.0
816735.7
23735.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149965020017283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto12.9
Teleop39.8
End7.2
red by 26.1
8167
#11
35.70.0
35.735.7
Auto12.0
Teleop16.8
End7.0
Second
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End9.4
red by 18.3
237
#19
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.9
End6.1
Third
9193
#20
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.3
End5.9
blue by 8.3
228
#6
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End8.9