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Red95
19561.8
188017.7
66616.7
Blue49
15532.7
199121.5
206419.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107750501502009549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto12.9
Teleop39.8
End7.2
red by 29.1
155
#13
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
Second
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End2.8
blue by 3.9
1991
#12
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto10.3
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Third
666
#10
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
blue by 3.2
2064
#18
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability odds7%Sustainability odds
Activation
64%Activation odds43%Activation odds