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Red114
15532.7
19561.8
997717.9
Blue86
199121.5
206753.6
107126.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010705015020011486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2DQ
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto12.9
Teleop39.8
End7.2
red by 8.2
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End9.4
Second
155
#13
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
red by 6.2
1071
#23
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End6.8
Third
9977
#21
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End4.3
blue by 3.6
1991
#12
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto10.3
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability odds32%Sustainability odds
Activation
79%Activation odds60%Activation odds