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Red79
188017.7
179653.4
15532.7
Blue37
346132.9
997717.9
17827.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116770501001502007937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.0
53.453.4
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End10.4
red by 20.5
3461
#15
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End6.8
Second
155
#13
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
red by 5.6
178
#17
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto13.0
Teleop12.5
End1.6
Third
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End2.8
blue by 0.2
9977
#21
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability odds22%Sustainability odds
Activation
87%Activation odds60%Activation odds