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Red29
199121.5
457218.7
109924.6
Blue92
15532.7
179653.4
206419.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611210501001502002992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1099
#14
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End5.3
blue by 28.8
53.40.0
53.453.4
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End10.4
Second
1991
#12
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto10.3
Teleop6.0
End5.2
blue by 11.2
155
#13
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
Third
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End4.6
blue by 1.2
2064
#18
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End6.2