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Red125
997717.9
23062.2
808552.2
Blue90
15532.7
179653.4
206419.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431085020025012590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#1
62.20.0
62.262.2
Auto16.0
Teleop36.0
End8.1
red by 8.8
53.40.0
53.453.4
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End10.4
Second
8085
#16
52.20.0
52.252.2
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End7.3
red by 19.5
155
#13
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
Third
9977
#21
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End4.3
blue by 2.0
2064
#18
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End6.2