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Red153
721139.4
2748.8
608149.3
Blue171
207563.5
14130.6
276759.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149150120140160180200153171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.4
48.048.5
Auto13.8
Teleop27.7
End7.9
blue by 14.1
63.50.4
63.463.8
Auto16.0
Teleop42.2
End2.8
Second
27
#3
48.80.4
47.548.0
Auto11.5
Teleop28.3
End8.9
blue by 10.2
59.10.4
59.059.4
Auto17.7
Teleop31.8
End9.5
Third
7211
#31
39.40.4
38.138.5
Auto12.5
Teleop18.8
End7.9
red by 8.8
141
#26
30.60.4
30.530.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.8
End8.6