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Red92
861217.7
705437.5
400430.8
Blue94
14130.6
2748.8
910628.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610802003004005006007009294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7054
#23
37.50.0
38.038.0
Auto13.7
Teleop13.7
End10.3
blue by 11.4
27
#3
48.80.4
40.540.1
Auto11.5
Teleop28.3
End8.9
Second
4004
#10
30.80.0
31.331.3
Auto8.1
Teleop17.4
End5.5
red by 0.3
141
#26
30.60.4
30.730.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.8
End8.6
Third
8612
#25
17.70.0
22.422.4
Auto7.7
Teleop3.2
End7.1
blue by 10.7
28.40.4
28.828.4
Auto9.8
Teleop10.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned