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Red64
609053.7
917635.3
611421.9
Blue119
207563.5
90420.8
10739.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14612305010020025064119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#17
53.74.6
63.158.5
Auto13.6
Teleop28.6
End10.1
blue by 9.8
63.50.7
67.566.8
Auto16.0
Teleop42.2
End2.8
Second
9176
#24
35.34.6
43.739.1
Auto11.2
Teleop16.6
End7.0
blue by 4.2
107
#22
39.40.7
44.443.7
Auto12.9
Teleop19.0
End7.6
Third
6114
#27
21.94.6
26.922.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End6.7
red by 1.2
904
#8
20.80.7
18.217.5
Auto9.9
Teleop5.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned