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Red125
357241.2
496729.1
276759.1
Blue105
910628.4
716039.9
354641.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431220100200300400125105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.4
58.357.8
Auto17.7
Teleop31.8
End9.5
red by 17.9
41.21.4
44.142.7
Auto12.1
Teleop21.4
End7.7
Second
3572
#14
41.20.4
46.846.4
Auto10.5
Teleop22.7
End7.8
red by 1.4
7160
#11
39.91.4
43.642.2
Auto10.9
Teleop21.1
End7.5
Third
29.10.4
26.426.0
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End4.7
red by 0.8
28.41.4
28.427.0
Auto9.8
Teleop10.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned