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Red124
90420.8
8547.5
2748.8
Blue70
721139.4
345827.1
357241.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11213305010015020012470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
48.81.2
40.141.3
Auto11.5
Teleop28.3
End8.9
red by 7.6
3572
#14
41.23.4
46.443.0
Auto10.5
Teleop22.7
End7.8
Second
85
#12
47.51.2
49.050.1
Auto13.4
Teleop26.3
End6.9
red by 8.1
7211
#31
39.43.4
44.340.8
Auto12.5
Teleop18.8
End7.9
Third
904
#8
20.81.2
17.518.6
Auto9.9
Teleop5.8
End5.3
blue by 6.4
3458
#13
27.13.4
30.827.4
Auto10.1
Teleop12.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsMissed