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Red117
8547.5
353852.2
861217.7
Blue146
335739.6
716039.9
354641.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211198090100110130140150117146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.0
51.451.4
Auto11.5
Teleop38.3
End3.0
red by 11.0
41.20.6
40.340.9
Auto12.1
Teleop21.4
End7.7
Second
85
#12
47.50.0
46.946.9
Auto13.4
Teleop26.3
End6.9
red by 7.6
7160
#11
39.90.6
39.039.6
Auto10.9
Teleop21.1
End7.5
Third
8612
#25
17.70.0
16.917.0
Auto7.7
Teleop3.2
End7.1
blue by 21.9
3357
#32
39.60.6
38.739.3
Auto11.8
Teleop18.2
End9.0