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Red102
699631.9
914420.2
558435.5
Blue99
758322.4
918913.2
914622.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9956015010299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5584
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End7.9
red by 12.9
9146
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End8.7
Second
6996
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto10.8
Teleop15.8
End5.4
red by 9.6
7583
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End7.0
Third
9144
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End6.3
red by 7.0
9189
Unranked
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto1.3
Teleop5.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability odds3%Sustainability odds
Activation
75%Activation odds36%Activation odds