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Red116
904910.9
919944.8
115650.6
Blue62
916432.1
916924.5
640424.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8882406010012014011662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.61.9
45.647.5
Auto13.7
Teleop29.0
End8.2
red by 18.5
9164
#17
32.11.5
31.630.0
Auto11.6
Teleop14.0
End6.5
Second
44.82.1
26.828.9
Auto12.3
Teleop24.6
End7.8
red by 20.3
24.51.5
23.421.9
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End8.0
Third
9049
#29
10.92.1
9.812.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 13.5
6404
#15
24.41.4
22.721.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsMissed