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Red78
91959.7
920036.7
640424.4
Blue73
926115.7
916432.1
177220.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66654050607080901007873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.8
30.331.1
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
red by 4.6
9164
#17
32.10.7
30.030.7
Auto11.6
Teleop14.0
End6.5
Second
6404
#15
24.40.8
21.322.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End7.6
red by 3.8
1772
#28
20.70.7
20.921.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End6.8
Third
9195
#25
9.70.8
8.99.7
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.0
End6.5
blue by 6.1
9261
#21
15.70.7
11.612.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsEarned