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Red50
580026.9
904910.9
916218.6
Blue72
115650.6
806614.6
926115.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions428802060801001201401605072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.3
25.525.8
Auto10.8
Teleop9.1
End7.0
blue by 23.7
50.60.4
47.747.3
Auto13.7
Teleop29.0
End8.2
Second
9162
#18
18.60.3
8.08.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End5.1
red by 2.8
9261
#21
15.70.4
12.312.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End5.4
Third
9049
#29
10.90.3
11.912.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End3.1
blue by 3.7
8066
#16
14.60.4
17.316.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned