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Red79
919944.8
827612.3
904821.7
Blue113
640424.4
917522.7
920036.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64790204010012014016079113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.2
28.629.8
Auto12.3
Teleop24.6
End7.8
red by 8.0
36.72.7
31.133.9
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
Second
9048
#12
21.71.2
22.423.5
Auto8.4
Teleop5.9
End7.4
blue by 2.8
6404
#15
24.42.7
22.124.9
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End7.6
Third
8276
#24
12.31.2
10.511.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End5.7
blue by 10.4
9175
#19
22.72.7
18.721.4
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
17%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned