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Red81
186038.9
745916.7
904724.7
Blue74
920036.7
916218.6
916616.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88620501001502008174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.2
38.438.2
Auto10.4
Teleop19.0
End9.4
red by 2.2
36.70.5
35.135.6
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
Second
9047
#14
24.70.2
22.722.5
Auto9.5
Teleop11.4
End3.8
red by 6.2
9162
#18
18.60.5
11.311.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End5.1
Third
7459
#13
16.70.2
18.318.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.8
End7.2
red by 0.5
9166
#23
16.20.5
14.915.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed