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Red84
926115.7
930528.4
905026.2
Blue99
920036.7
703321.1
916831.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63940501508499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9305
#10
28.41.4
26.127.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.4
End7.0
blue by 8.3
36.70.7
36.036.6
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
Second
9050
#11
26.21.4
23.725.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.5
End9.2
blue by 5.0
31.20.7
28.429.0
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End6.7
Third
9261
#21
15.71.4
13.414.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End5.4
blue by 5.3
7033
#27
21.10.7
19.920.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned