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Red87
917522.7
916831.2
703321.1
Blue93
920036.7
919944.8
806614.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751020501502008793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.3
30.931.2
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End6.7
blue by 13.6
44.80.3
43.743.3
Auto12.3
Teleop24.6
End7.8
Second
9175
#19
22.70.3
22.422.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End3.3
blue by 14.0
36.70.3
35.635.3
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
Third
7033
#27
21.10.3
20.821.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.8
End8.0
red by 6.5
8066
#16
14.60.3
13.513.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End6.0