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Red57
920036.7
919944.8
806614.6
Blue86
904724.7
745916.7
640424.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10964501001502005786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.0
44.943.9
Auto12.3
Teleop24.6
End7.8
red by 20.0
9047
#14
24.70.3
24.825.1
Auto9.5
Teleop11.4
End3.8
Second
36.71.0
36.935.9
Auto11.8
Teleop17.4
End7.6
red by 12.3
6404
#15
24.40.3
24.524.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End7.6
Third
8066
#16
14.61.0
14.713.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End6.0
blue by 2.1
7459
#13
16.70.3
16.717.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.8
End7.2