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Red68
146620.3
95908.2
402028.3
Blue35
541015.2
77179.9
610710.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions662604060801001201406835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.8
26.427.2
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End2.2
red by 13.1
5410
#26
15.20.4
10.611.1
Auto7.1
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Second
1466
#10
20.30.7
19.820.5
Auto7.8
Teleop10.7
End1.8
red by 9.5
6107
#16
10.80.5
7.78.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Third
9590
#38
8.22.1
8.210.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End1.2
blue by 1.7
7717
#44
9.90.7
10.010.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed