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Red55
640414.6
86246.9
248148.0
Blue111
580015.1
263829.9
463541.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728640608010012014055111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.8
45.044.2
Auto16.9
Teleop27.7
End3.4
red by 6.9
41.12.0
36.138.1
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End2.0
Second
6404
#25
14.61.1
11.710.6
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 15.3
29.92.0
23.225.3
Auto9.3
Teleop18.2
End2.4
Third
8624
#28
6.91.0
10.39.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.7
End0.4
blue by 8.2
5800
#18
15.12.7
17.019.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed