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Red40
395915.6
610710.8
314018.8
Blue54
398422.6
426521.8
87737.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32540204060801004054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#12
18.80.0
13.313.3
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
blue by 3.9
3984
#35Sur
22.60.5
18.919.4
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End2.2
Second
3959
#21Sur
15.60.0
9.69.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End0.6
blue by 6.3
21.80.5
18.919.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Third
6107
#16
10.80.0
8.68.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.2
End0.4
red by 3.4
8773
#30
7.30.8
8.79.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed