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Red18
95908.2
77179.9
500510.1
Blue36
382410.8
640414.6
970211.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3425010203040506070801836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5005
#45
10.10.8
11.210.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End1.9
blue by 4.5
6404
#25
14.60.6
10.811.3
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Second
7717
#44
9.91.3
10.89.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End2.2
blue by 1.9
9702
#43
11.80.5
6.97.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
9590
#38
8.21.3
7.96.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End1.2
blue by 2.6
3824
#32
10.80.5
5.96.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed