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Red57
425618.0
349.1
463541.1
Blue55
313911.4
398422.6
12022.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755620401001201405755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.9
38.337.5
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End2.0
red by 18.2
120
#24
22.90.1
21.821.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.8
End0.7
Second
4256
#15
18.00.9
17.816.9
Auto9.5
Teleop8.0
End0.5
blue by 4.6
3984
#35
22.60.1
20.921.0
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End2.2
Third
34
#42
9.10.9
9.78.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End0.4
blue by 2.2
3139
#27
11.40.1
10.210.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed