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Red78
500213.1
93126.4
382410.8
Blue23
86246.9
541015.2
39668.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433302060801007823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#14
26.42.3
21.624.0
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 11.2
5410
#26
15.20.9
12.211.3
Auto7.1
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Second
5002
#36
13.12.3
9.812.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End2.0
red by 4.3
3966
#37
8.70.9
9.78.8
Auto6.0
Teleop2.5
End0.2
Third
3824
#32
10.82.3
6.48.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 3.9
8624
#28
6.90.9
9.08.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed