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Red53
580015.1
970211.8
314018.8
Blue35
610710.8
711120.5
425618.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4652204060801005335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#12
18.80.7
14.715.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.2
End1.0
blue by 1.7
7111
#22
20.50.8
18.818.0
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End1.0
Second
5800
#18
15.10.7
18.118.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.1
End0.4
blue by 2.9
4256
#15
18.00.8
17.416.6
Auto9.5
Teleop8.0
End0.5
Third
9702
#43
11.80.7
9.710.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 1.0
6107
#16
10.80.8
10.29.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed