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Red56
906722.9
297311.0
382410.8
Blue41
970211.8
239316.6
711120.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444802060801005641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.7
19.520.2
Auto11.5
Teleop9.5
End2.0
red by 2.4
7111
#22
20.50.2
18.017.8
Auto8.2
Teleop11.4
End1.0
Second
2973
#39
11.01.1
10.411.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.4
End0.8
blue by 5.6
2393
#20
16.60.2
14.914.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
3824
#32
10.80.7
10.511.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 0.9
9702
#43
11.80.2
10.410.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed